AC Ajaccio
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
0 - 2
Paris FC


Vidal (81'), Everson (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marchetti (55'), Krasso (90+4')
Lopez (90+3'), Lopez (90+3')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Bastia
Tuesday, December 3 at 6.30pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Paris FC 0-0 Annecy
Saturday, November 23 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawParis FC
24.79% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)29.18% (-0.121 -0.12)46.03% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Both teams to score 40.47% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.73% (0.333 0.33)65.27% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.92% (0.232 0.23)84.08% (-0.23 -0.23)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.66% (0.158 0.16)43.34% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.43% (0.131 0.13)79.57% (-0.129 -0.13)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.25 0.25)28.58% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (0.311 0.31)64.38% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 24.79%
    Paris FC 46.03%
    Draw 29.17%
AjaccioDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 5.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.51% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.38% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 15.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.06% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 46.03%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 2.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Paris FC
1-1
Ajaccio
Dicko (29')
Hamed Toure (19')
Mar 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 29
Paris FC
2-0
Ajaccio
Gory (53'), Dicko (64')
Camara (27'), Gaudin (88')

Jacob (57')
Sep 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Ajaccio
2-1
Paris FC
Jabol Folcarelli (56'), Bammou (67')
Mangani (60'), Marchetti (90')
Hamel (58')
Chergui (37'), Doucet (37')
Feb 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Paris FC
2-0
Ajaccio
Gory (54'), Guilavogui (62' pen.)
Boutaib (33')

Gonzalez (43'), Ismael (60')
Sep 14, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 5
Ajaccio
1-0
Paris FC
Gonzalez (89')

Bernauer (48')
Laura (90+5')