Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 1-0 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.