Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.