Coupe de France | Eighth Round

Nov 29, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
2 - 0
Nancy

Boutrah (8' pen., 84')
Loic Onana Etoga (15')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Evans (2')
Bokangou (8')

Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Bastia and Nancy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Bastia 0-0 Lorient
Saturday, November 23 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Nancy

All competitions

Last Game: Epinal 2-4 Nancy
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Nancy
45.25% ( -0.28)	26.84% ( 0)	27.9% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.04% (

0.13)

55.96% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.94% (

0.11)

77.05% (

-0.11)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35% (

-0.08)

24.64% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.83% (

-0.11)

59.16% (

0.11)

Nancy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59% (

0.3)

35.4% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.83% (

0.3)

72.16% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Bastia 45.25%

Nancy 27.9%

Draw 26.84%

Bastia	Draw	Nancy
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.25%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.9%