Ligue 2 | Gameweek 16
Dec 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Guingamp

Bastia
3 - 1
Guingamp

Tomi (50'), Cisse (72' pen.), Maggiotti (86')
Meynadier (18'), Guidi (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Siwe (32')
Hemia (39'), Sissoko (54'), Sidibe (57'), Luvambo (90+3')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Guingamp.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Red Star 0-0 Bastia
Friday, December 6 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Guingamp

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Martigues 0-1 Guingamp
Friday, December 6 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Bastia win it was 1-0 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawGuingamp
26.03% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)27.87% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)46.09% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.58% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.44% (0.069000000000003 0.07)60.56% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)80.66% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)39.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)76.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.045999999999992 0.05)26.31% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (0.063000000000002 0.06)61.43% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 26.03%
    Guingamp 46.09%
    Draw 27.86%
BastiaDrawGuingamp
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.03%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 13.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.83% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 46.09%

How you voted: Bastia vs Guingamp

Bastia
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Guingamp
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 33
Guingamp
0-1
Bastia

Maronnier (37')
Drame (26')
Ducrocq (44')
Oct 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Bastia
0-0
Guingamp
Yapi (37')
Lemonnier (45'), Louiserre (78'), Sivis (90+3')
Lemonnier (90+3')
Feb 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Bastia
1-1
Guingamp
Kaiboue (32')
Courtet (80')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Guingamp
1-1
Bastia
Kaiboue (86' og.)
Talal (78')
Apr 16, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Bastia
1-2
Guingamp
Talal (57')
Sainati (44'), Guidi (53')
Pierrot (62', 74')
Ba (51')