Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.

Result
Pau	Draw	Ajaccio
50.23% ( 0.38)	26.59% ( -0.15)	23.18% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 45.48% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.9% (

0.34)

58.1% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.23% (

0.26)

78.77% (

-0.26)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

0.32)

23.25% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.84% (

0.46)

57.16% (

-0.46)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.26% (

-0.03)

40.74% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.67% (

-0.03)

77.33% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Pau 50.22%

Ajaccio 23.18%

Draw 26.58%

Pau	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 13.81% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 50.22%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.18%