Troyes
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas

Troyes
3 - 0
Pau

M'Changama (54'), Kalou Irie (67'), Ibnou Ba (87')
Boutaib (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruiz (13'), Mille (47'), Nonge (90+8')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Troyes and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 0-1 Troyes
Saturday, October 26 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 0-2 Amiens
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Pau had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawPau
40.97% (-0.157 -0.16)26.05% (0.042000000000002 0.04)32.98% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.5% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14% (-0.143 -0.14)50.86% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (-0.126 -0.13)72.74% (0.12700000000001 0.13)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.142 -0.14)24.52% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (-0.2 -0.2)58.99% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.04% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 40.96%
    Pau 32.98%
    Draw 26.04%
TroyesDrawPau
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.96%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.98%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Troyes
2-2
Pau
Dong (72'), Diop (78')
Ndiaye (14'), Zoukrou (20'), Chavalerin (45+3')
Boli (18'), Bassouamina (90')
Dec 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Pau
1-1
Troyes
Sylla (88')
Batisse (31'), D'Almeida (47'), Mouton (61')
Said (56')
Boura (19'), Dong (44'), Chavalerin (89')
Jan 23, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 21
Pau
0-1
Troyes

Batisse (42'), Scaramozzino (79'), (87')
Domingues (78')
Pintor (45+1'), Dembele (90+4')
Sep 12, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 3
Troyes
2-0
Pau
Hyun-Jun (37' pen.), Pintor (87')
Raveloson (31'), Saint-Louis (65')

Daubin (35'), Armand (44'), Bansais (72')
Daubin (90')