Coupe de France | Seventh Round

Nov 16, 2024 at 12.45pm UK

Stade Didier Deschamps

Aviron Bayonnais
1 - 3
Pau

Giacomini (53')
Fall (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Boutaib (5'), Mboup (40', 55')
Arconte (60'), Beusnard (64')

Coverage of the Coupe de France Seventh Round clash between Aviron Bayonnais and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions

Last Game: Pau 0-0 Paris FC
Saturday, November 9 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 87.11%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Aviron Bayonnais had a probability of 3.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.5%) and 0-4 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.36%), while for an Aviron Bayonnais win it was 1-0 (1.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.

Result
Aviron Bayonnais	Draw	Pau
3.73% ( 0.06)	9.16% ( 0.08)	87.11% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 40.04% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.77% (

-0.02)

29.23% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.74% (

-0.03)

50.26% (

0.02)

Aviron Bayonnais Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.9% (

0.29)

58.1% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.35% (

0.16)

89.65% (

-0.16)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.57% (

-0.03)

4.43% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.76% (

-0.09)

18.24% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Aviron Bayonnais 3.73%

Pau 87.1%

Draw 9.16%

Aviron Bayonnais	Draw	Pau
1-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.14% Total : 3.73%	1-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 9.16%	0-3 @ 12.98% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 10.12% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 6.31% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 3.43% ( 0) 0-6 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.78% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 0-7 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 87.1%