Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Pau had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Pau	Draw	Red Star
36.95% ( -2.07)	25.62% ( -0.85)	37.43% ( 2.93)

Both teams to score 55.55% (

3.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.51% (

3.88)

48.49% (

-3.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.38% (

3.43)

70.62% (

-3.43)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4% (

0.65)

25.6% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.52% (

0.87)

60.48% (

-0.87)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

3.56)

25.33% (

-3.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

4.65)

60.12% (

-4.64)

Score Analysis

Pau 36.95%

Red Star 37.43%

Draw 25.62%

Pau	Draw	Red Star
1-0 @ 8.84% ( -1.3) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.76) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.95%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -1.1) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.58) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.43) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.31) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.43%