Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 92.84%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for Haubourdin had a probability of 1.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.96%) and 0-2 (12.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.61%), while for a Haubourdin win it was 1-0 (0.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star would win this match.