Coupe de France | Eighth Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1

US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu
1 - 1
Pau

Ngampika (1')
Olmos (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bobichon (90+5')
Obiang (27'), Kouassi (34')
US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu

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Last Game: US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu 3-0 Thouars
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Coupe de France
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Pau

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Pau 4-1 Red Star
Friday, November 22 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 85.98%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu had a probability of 4.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 0-4 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.54%), while for a US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu win it was 1-0 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-LieuDrawPau
4.39% (0.015 0.01)9.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)85.98% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.18% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.39% (0.052000000000007 0.05)27.61% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.74% (0.065999999999995 0.07)48.26% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.19% (0.111 0.11)53.81% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.84% (0.069999999999999 0.07)87.16% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.03% (0.016000000000005 0.02)17.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu 4.39%
    Pau 85.97%
    Draw 9.63%
US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-LieuDrawPau
1-0 @ 1.45%
2-1 @ 1.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 4.39%
1-1 @ 4.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 9.63%
0-3 @ 12.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 11.49% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-4 @ 9.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.45% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-5 @ 5.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.84% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-5 @ 3.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-6 @ 3.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.92% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.81% (0.008 0.01)
0-7 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 85.97%

rhs 2.0


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