Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 16, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
1 - 3
Nice

Kechta (28')
Mwanga (45'), Kechta (53')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Laborde (16'), Youte Kinkoue (18' og.), Diop (90+4')
Bard (34')
Bard (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-2 Le Havre
Saturday, February 8 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Lens
Saturday, February 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 13.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Nice
13.6% ( 0.4)	19.86% ( 0.45)	66.54% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 48.24% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.59% (

-1.1)

45.41% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.26% (

-1.06)

67.74% (

1.06)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.29% (

-0.08)

44.71% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.3% (

-0.06)

80.7% (

0.07)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.26% (

-0.57)

12.74% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.01% (

-1.18)

38.99% (

1.18)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 13.6%

Nice 66.53%

Draw 19.86%

Le Havre	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.29% Total : 13.6%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.86%	0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.3% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 6.68% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 4.28% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.11) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 66.53%