Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.