Europa League
Dec 12, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Boras Arena
  • Ahmed Qasem 57' goal
  • Rami Kaib 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Badavi Huseynov 60'
  • yellowcard Juninho 79'

Elfsborg vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 28, 2024 5.45pm
Athletic Bilbao 3 - 0 Elfsborg

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 28, 2024 5.45pm
Qarabag 1 - 4 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result

Elfsborg 37.1% (+3.26)
Draw 23% (-0.29)
Qarabag FK 39.91% (-2.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.31% (+1.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.13% (+2.07)
Under 2.5 35.87% (-2.07)
Over 3.5 42.05% (+2.24)
Under 3.5 57.95% (-2.24)
Over 4.5 23.81% (+1.83)
Under 4.5 76.19% (-1.82)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5 80.18% (+2.60)
Under 0.5 19.82% (-2.60)
Over 1.5 48.1% (+4.04)
Under 1.5 51.9% (-4.04)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 81.46% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 18.54% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 50.21% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 49.79% (+0.70)

Score analysis

Elfsborg 37.1%
Draw 23%
Qarabag FK 39.91%
Elfsborg
2-1 @ 8.11% (+0.36)
1-0 @ 5.95% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.81% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.38% (+0.51)
3-2 @ 3.69% (+0.39)
3-0 @ 2.6% (+0.34)
4-1 @ 1.77% (+0.33)
4-2 @ 1.49% (+0.26)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-83.65)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 37.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.35)
2-2 @ 6.83% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.40)
3-3 @ 2.07% (+0.20)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 23%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.42)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.75)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.71)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.30)
2-3 @ 3.84% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.45)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.16)
2-4 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.21)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 39.91%