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Europa League
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Boras Arena
Qarabag

Elfsborg
1 - 0
Qarabag

Qasem (57')
Kaib (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Huseynov (60'), Juninho (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Elfsborg and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Elfsborg
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-4 Lyon
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Elfsborg 2-1 Qarabag FK

 Both sides have struggled in their first five Europa League matches this term and will be keenly aware that time is running out for them to pick up the necessary points to make it to the next round. However, the defensive weakness Qarabag have displayed in the league phase so far is difficult to overlook, and Elfsborg may exploit this to take all three points on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawQarabag FK
37.1% (3.255 3.26) 23% (-0.282 -0.28) 39.91% (-2.969 -2.97)
Both teams to score 65.31% (1.799 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.13% (2.065 2.07)35.87% (-2.061 -2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.05% (2.239 2.24)57.95% (-2.234 -2.23)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (2.598 2.6)19.82% (-2.594 -2.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (4.037 4.04)51.9% (-4.035 -4.04)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (-0.405 -0.41)18.54% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21% (-0.69 -0.69)49.79% (0.694 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 37.1%
    Qarabag FK 39.91%
    Draw 23%
ElfsborgDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.351 0.35)
1-0 @ 5.95% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.268 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.508 0.51)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.385 0.39)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.331 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.325 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.257 0.26)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 37.1%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.209 0.21)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.39 -0.39)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.192 0.19)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.415 -0.41)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.747 -0.75)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.707 -0.71)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.441 -0.44)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 39.91%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Qarabag

Elfsborg
55.7%
Draw
21.6%
Qarabag FK
22.7%
88
rhs 2.0
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