Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 8, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 2
Le Havre

Akpom (90+7')
Mbappe Lottin (61'), Bakker (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mahgoub (38'), Soumare (56')
Zouaoui (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Dunkerque (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, February 4 at 6pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, February 2 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 74.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Le Havre
74.16% ( 0.06)	16.36% ( -0.01)	9.48% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.28% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.41% (

-0.13)

40.58% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.03% (

-0.13)

62.97% (

0.13)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.58% (

-0.02)

9.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.34% (

-0.05)

31.66% (

0.04)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.09% (

-0.2)

48.9% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.11% (

-0.14)

83.88% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Lille 74.14%

Le Havre 9.48%

Draw 16.36%

Lille	Draw	Le Havre
2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 74.14%	1-1 @ 7.78% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 16.36%	0-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 9.48%