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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Le Havre

Lille
1 - 2
Le Havre

Akpom (90+7')
Mbappe Lottin (61'), Bakker (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mahgoub (38'), Soumare (56')
Zouaoui (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Dunkerque (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, February 4 at 6pm in Coupe de France

Le Havre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, February 2 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 4-0 Le Havre

 The home fans will hope the shellshock of Tuesday night's defeat will have worn off in time for this one, where Lille will be big favourites to bolster their top-four push, against the relegation candidates. Le Havre have taken more points away from home (eight) than they have managed at home this season (six), but at a venue where they barely manage to score a goal, never mind record a victory, this could be a long evening for the basement boys. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 74.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawLe Havre
74.16% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 16.36% (-0.012 -0.01) 9.48% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.189 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.41% (-0.131 -0.13)40.58% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.03% (-0.134 -0.13)62.97% (0.129 0.13)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)9.41% (0.0181 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.34% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)31.66% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.09% (-0.199 -0.2)48.9% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.11% (-0.142 -0.14)83.88% (0.13799999999999 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lille 74.14%
    Le Havre 9.48%
    Draw 16.36%
LilleDrawLe Havre
2-0 @ 12.85% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.98% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 74.14%
1-1 @ 7.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 16.36%
0-1 @ 3.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 9.48%

How you voted: Lille vs Le Havre

Lille
93.2%
Draw
6.8%
Le Havre
0.0%
44
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 6
Le Havre
0-3
Lille

Kechta (44'), Desmas (90+4')
David (23', 35', 79')
Andre (68')
> Preview
Feb 17, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 22
Lille
3-0
Le Havre
David (14', 44', 49')
Bentaleb (36'), Arnar Haraldsson (68')

Lloris (18'), Toure (65'), Operi (83')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Le Havre
0-2
Lille
Zhegrova (40'), Salmier (52' og.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26215073254868
2Marseille26154753332049
3MonacoMonaco26145751321947
4Nice26138550311947
5Lyon26136750331745
6Lille26128640281244
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2612774133843
8Lens2611693129239
9Brest26114113840-237
10Toulouse2697103329434
11Auxerre2688103739-232
12Rennes2692153537-229
13NantesNantes2669112943-1427
14Angers2676132642-1627
15Reims2658132640-1423
16Le HavreLe Havre2663172655-2921
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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