Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Lille had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.