Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.