Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stade de la Colombiere
Strasbourg

Thaon
2 - 2
Strasbourg

Villa (32'), Leroy (45+2')
Leroy (45+1'), Rother (56')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Messi Tanfouri (20', 26')
Strasbourg win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Thaon and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Thaon

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Last Game: Thaon 2-1 Amiens
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France
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Strasbourg

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 12 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 89.61%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Thaon had a probability of 2.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 0-4 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.54%), while for a Thaon win it was 1-0 (1.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
ThaonDrawStrasbourg
2.92% (-0.206 -0.21)7.47% (-0.2549 -0.25)89.61% (0.464 0.46)
Both teams to score 40.33% (-1.115 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.47% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.7% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Thaon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.71% (-1.184 -1.18)58.29% (1.186 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.25% (-0.649 -0.65)89.75% (0.65300000000001 0.65)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.7% (0.071999999999989 0.07)3.3% (-0.069 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.45% (0.23699999999999 0.24)14.55% (-0.233 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Thaon 2.92%
    Strasbourg 89.59%
    Draw 7.47%
ThaonDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 1.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-1 @ 0.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 2.92%
1-1 @ 3.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-0 @ 1.92%
2-2 @ 1.63% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 7.47%
0-3 @ 12.72% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 11.18% (0.13 0.13)
0-4 @ 10.85% (0.26 0.26)
0-5 @ 7.41% (0.221 0.22)
1-3 @ 6.87% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-4 @ 5.86% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-6 @ 4.21% (0.15 0.15)
1-5 @ 4% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-6 @ 2.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-7 @ 2.05% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-7 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 89.59%

How you voted: Thaon vs Strasbourg

Thaon
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Strasbourg
85.7%
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