Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 89.61%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Thaon had a probability of 2.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 0-4 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.54%), while for a Thaon win it was 1-0 (1.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.