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Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Strasbourg

Toulouse
1 - 2
Strasbourg

Doukoure (35' og.)
Akdag (7'), Akdag (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Emegha (14', 26')
Sarr (42'), Santos (74'), Bakwa (77'), Sobol (80'), Sobol (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawStrasbourg
43.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04)26.23% (-0.004999999999999 -0)29.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.61% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3%52.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.66%74.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.021000000000001 0.02)23.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (0.027999999999999 0.03)58.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)32.23% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)68.72% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 43.95%
    Strasbourg 29.81%
    Draw 26.23%
ToulouseDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 29.81%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Strasbourg

Toulouse
44.4%
Draw
38.9%
Strasbourg
16.7%
36
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 28
Toulouse
0-0
Strasbourg
Dallinga (16'), Aboukhlal (87')
Aug 27, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
Strasbourg
2-0
Toulouse
Emegha (52'), Bellegarde (89')
Deminguet (43')

Suazo (54'), Dallinga (68'), Chaibi (81')
Jan 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 20
Strasbourg
1-2
Toulouse
Gameiro (20')
Dallinga (25', 51')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 12
Toulouse
2-2
Strasbourg
Rouault (44'), Dejaegere (55')
Mothiba (65'), Gameiro (73')
Feb 5, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 23
Toulouse
0-1
Strasbourg

Boisgard (59')
Majeed Waris (76')
Carole (83'), Sissoko (90')