Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Emegha (23'), Greenwood (68' pen.)
Lirola (71'), Brassier (90+5'), Vaz (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Emegha (26'), Doue (28'), Lemarechal (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Thaon 2-2 Strasbourg (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Strasbourg
55.18% ( 0.08)	22.63% ( -0.02)	22.18% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.59% (

0.02)

43.41% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.19% (

0.02)

65.8% (

-0.03)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.38% (

0.03)

15.62% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.38% (

0.07)

44.61% (

-0.07)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.54% (

-0.04)

33.46% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.91% (

-0.04)

70.09% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Marseille 55.18%

Strasbourg 22.18%

Draw 22.63%

Marseille	Draw	Strasbourg
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.18%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.63%	1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.18%