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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-3 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 16.18% ( | 18.23% ( | 65.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.91% ( | 32.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.33% ( | 53.67% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( | 32.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( | 69.44% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.81% ( | 9.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.88% ( | 31.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.46% ( 1-0 @ 3.36% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 2-0 @ 1.87% ( 3-1 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 16.18% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.23% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0-3 @ 6.85% ( 1-4 @ 4.55% ( 2-3 @ 4.24% ( 0-4 @ 4.09% ( 2-4 @ 2.53% ( 1-5 @ 2.17% ( 0-5 @ 1.95% ( 2-5 @ 1.21% ( 3-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 4.06% Total : 65.59% |