Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-3 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.