Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Dec 22, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
4 - 1
Nijmegen

Marquez (20' og.), Bokila (33'), Meerveld (63'), Boris (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ogawa (24')
Marquez (58'), Ogawa (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Noordwijk 2-1 Willem II
Thursday, December 19 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 1-0 Nijmegen
Wednesday, December 18 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Willem II	Draw	NEC
28.4% ( 0.06)	24.38% ( -0.02)	47.22% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.72% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.37% (

0.14)

45.63% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.05% (

0.14)

67.95% (

-0.13)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

0.12)

29.61% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.35% (

0.14)

65.65% (

-0.14)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

0.04)

19.43% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.74% (

0.07)

51.26% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Willem II 28.4%

NEC 47.22%

Draw 24.38%

Willem II	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.4%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.22%