/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwillog.png)
-
Sem Steijn
12'
-
Sem Steijn
36'
-
Sem Steijn
50'
-
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
68'
-
Michal Sadilek
79'
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Carel Eiting
90'+1'
-
Raffael Behounek
31'
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Patrick Joosten
40'
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Jeremy Bokila
71'
FC Twente vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F02%2Ffc-twente.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result
FC Twente
66.59%
▼
(-0.47)
Draw
18.99%
▲
(+0.07)
Willem II
14.42%
▲
(+0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
53.47%
▲
(+0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.37%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 2.5
39.63%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 3.5
38.02%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 3.5
61.98%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 4.5
20.58%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 4.5
79.43%
▼
(-0.48)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
88.96%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
11.04%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
64.64%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
35.36%
▼
(-0.11)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5
60.1%
▲
(+0.94)
Under 0.5
39.9%
▼
(-0.94)
Over 1.5
23.44%
▲
(+0.86)
Under 1.5
76.56%
▼
(-0.85)
Score analysis
FC Twente
66.59%
Draw
18.99%
Willem II
14.42%
FC Twente
2-0
@
10.69%
▼
(-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.10)
5-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 66.59%
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.10)
5-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 66.59%
Draw
1-1
@
8.92%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-95.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.99%
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-95.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.99%
Willem II
1-2
@
4.1%
▲
(+0.11)
0-1 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 14.42%
0-1 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 14.42%
