Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 12, 2025 at 11.15am UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
6 - 2
Willem II

Steijn (12', 36', 50' pen.), van Wolfswinkel (68'), Sadilek (79'), Eiting (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Behounek (31'), Joosten (40')
Bokila (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-0 FC Twente
Saturday, December 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Willem II

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Willem II 4-1 Nijmegen
Sunday, December 22 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Willem II
66.59% ( -0.46)	18.99% ( 0.07)	14.42% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 53.47% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.37% (

0.59)

39.63% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.02% (

0.62)

61.98% (

-0.61)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.96% (

0.05)

11.04% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.64% (

0.11)

35.36% (

-0.1)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.1% (

0.94)

39.9% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.44% (

0.85)

76.56% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 66.59%

Willem II 14.42%

Draw 18.99%

FC Twente	Draw	Willem II
2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.18% Total : 66.59%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.99%	1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.42%