Lille
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 1
Dunkerque

Gomes (85')
Alexsandro (59'), Arnar Haraldsson (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tejan (90+5')
Sangante (59'), Senneville (76'), Tejan (90+7')
Dunkerque win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Lille and Dunkerque, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 4-1 St Etienne
Saturday, February 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (4.12%).

Result
LilleDrawDunkerque
66.57% (1.917 1.92)19.11% (-0.957 -0.96)14.33% (-0.958 -0.96)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.877 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.63% (2.374 2.37)40.37% (-2.372 -2.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.26% (2.401 2.4)62.74% (-2.399 -2.4)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (1.223 1.22)11.25% (-1.221 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.16% (2.605 2.61)35.84% (-2.602 -2.6)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.51% (0.17 0.17)40.49% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.9% (0.153 0.15)77.1% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Lille 66.56%
    Dunkerque 14.33%
    Draw 19.11%
LilleDrawDunkerque
2-0 @ 10.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.596 -0.6)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.293 0.29)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.296 0.3)
4-0 @ 4.32% (0.356 0.36)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.338 0.34)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.148 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.238 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.161 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.71% (0.221 0.22)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.501 -0.5)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.515 -0.52)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.11%
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.445 -0.45)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 14.33%

How you voted: Lille vs Dunkerque

Lille
82.8%
Draw
14.1%
Dunkerque
3.1%
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