Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Feb 1, 2025 at 8.05pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
4 - 1
St Etienne

David (32' pen.), Sahraoui (63', 78'), Gudmundsson (72')
Gudmundsson (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Davitashvili (6' pen.)
Boakye (50')
Batubinsika (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 6-1 Feyenoord
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 St Etienne
Friday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 76.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Saint-Etienne
76.75% ( -0.12)	14.49% ( 0.12)	8.76% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.42% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.29% (

-0.68)

33.71% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.46% (

-0.77)

55.54% (

0.78)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.79% (

-0.17)

7.21% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.83% (

-0.46)

26.17% (

0.46)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.33% (

-0.5)

45.67% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.54% (

-0.4)

81.46% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Lille 76.75%

Saint-Etienne 8.76%

Draw 14.49%

Lille	Draw	Saint-Etienne
2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 76.75%	1-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.91% Total : 14.49%	1-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.6% Total : 8.76%