Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.