Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.