Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 8, 2025 at 4pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
2 - 0
Lens

Laborde (11' pen.), Clauss (65')
Cho (8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomasson (10'), Medina (32'), Ojediran (89')
Medina (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Stade Briochin 2-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 0-2 Lens
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lens
27.42% ( 0.09)	24.86% ( -0.03)	47.72% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 54.4% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.66% (

0.18)

48.34% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.51% (

0.16)

70.48% (

-0.16)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

0.16)

31.74% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.83% (

0.19)

68.17% (

-0.18)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7% (

0.05)

20.3% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.33% (

0.08)

52.67% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Nice 27.42%

Lens 47.71%

Draw 24.86%

Nice	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.42%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 47.71%