Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Theo Sainte-Luce 18' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 50' yellowcard
  • Modibo Sagnan 78' yellowcard
  • Joris Chotard 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mbala N'Zola 1'
  • redcard 26'
  • redcard Will Still 26'
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 45'+7'
  • goal Jeremy Nosakhare Agbonifo 61'
  • yellowcard Hamzat Ojediran 90'+6'

Montpellier HSC vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 4.15pm
Toulouse 1 - 2 Montpellier
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Arnaud Nordin

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 4.15pm
Lens 1 - 0 Angers
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Neil El Aynaoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 17.5% (+0.08)
Draw 21.67% (+0.06)
Lens 60.83% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.51% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.23% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 45.77% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 31.91% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 68.08% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 16.01% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 83.98% (+0.07)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 60.29% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 39.71% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.62% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 76.38% (-0.04)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 85.42% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 14.57% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 57.36% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 42.64% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 17.5%
Draw 21.67%
Lens 60.82%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 5.34% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 4.75% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.79% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.67%
Lens
0-1 @ 11.14% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 10.73% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.89% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.36% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 3.32% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 60.82%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 8, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Remy Labeau 39' goal
  • Florian Sotoca 79' yellowcard
  • Brice Samba 90' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Lecomte 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Teji Savanier 43'
  • yellowcard Modibo Sagnan 71'
  • yellowcard Enzo Tchato 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Elye Wahi 4' goal
  • Deiver Machado 45'+3' goal
  • goal Othmane Maamma 58'
  • goal Lucas Mincarelli 74'
  • yellowcard Wahbi Khazri 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Sacha Delaye 84' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ferri 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 12'
  • yellowcard Przemyslaw Frankowski 15'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Faitout Maouassa 59' goal
  • goal Angelo Fulgini 4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wesley Said 67' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Costa 37' goal
  • David Costa 70' yellowcard
  • Ignatius Ganago 75' goal