Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
2 - 0
Montpellier

Emegha (45+2'), Nanasi (69')
Santos (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sagnan (20'), Meite (74'), Khazri (80'), Maamma (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Angers
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 0-2 Lens
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Montpellier HSC
48.58% ( 0.03)	24.68% ( -0)	26.75% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.44% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

-0.02)

48.04% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

-0.02)

70.2% (

0.02)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.18% (

19.82% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.1% (

0.01)

51.9% (

-0.01)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.89% (

-0.04)

32.11% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.42% (

-0.04)

68.58% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 48.58%

Montpellier HSC 26.75%

Draw 24.68%

Strasbourg	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.58%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.75%