Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 4.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Jordan Ferri 18' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 40' yellowcard
  • goal Seko Fofana 28'
  • yellowcard Seko Fofana 35'
  • goal Djaoui Cisse 56'
  • goal Lorenz Assignon 69'
  • goal Arnaud Kalimuendo 87'

Montpellier HSC vs Rennes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 4.15pm
Nice 2 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Arnaud Nordin

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm
Rennes 1 - 0 Reims
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Arnaud Kalimuendo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 20.01% (+0.76)
Draw 22.01% (+0.44)
Rennes 57.99% (-1.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.97% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.59% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 43.41% (+0.89)
Over 3.5 34.2% (-0.87)
Under 3.5 65.8% (+0.88)
Over 4.5 17.67% (-0.65)
Under 4.5 82.33% (+0.65)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 64.44% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 35.56% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 27.67% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 72.33% (-0.28)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5 85.31% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 14.69% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 57.13% (-1.29)
Under 1.5 42.87% (+1.30)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 20.01%
Draw 22.01%
Rennes 57.99%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 5.4% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 5.36% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 2.79% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 1.85% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.77% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 20.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 5.23% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.14% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.01%
Rennes
0-1 @ 10.02% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.61% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 6.35% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 6.14% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 3.05% (-0.16)
0-4 @ 2.95% (-0.18)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.07)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.09)
0-5 @ 1.13% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 57.99%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Paul Audrin
  • Alidu Seidu 9' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Blas 24' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 35' goal
  • Albert Gronbaek 60' goal
  • yellowcard Rabby Nzingoula 21'
  • yellowcard Rabby Nzingoula 79'
  • yellowcard Stefan Dzodic 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Roazhon Park
  • Martin Terrier 3' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 48' goal
  • Adrien Truffert 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 53' yellowcard
  • Bertug Yildirim 80' yellowcard
  • Enzo Le Fee 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Modibo Sagnan 12'
  • yellowcard Wahbi Khazri 30'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mincarelli 47'
  • goal Teji Savanier 73'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 4.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Joris Chotard 78' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ferri 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bertug Yildirim 32'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 4.05pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stephy Mavididi 84' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Oct 30, 2022 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Martin Terrier 15' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 23' goal
  • Amine Gouiri 85' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2022 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Ambroise Oyongo 19' goal
  • Teji Savanier 26' yellowcard
  • Elye Wahi 41' goal
  • Valere Germain 74' yellowcard
  • Ambroise Oyongo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Terrier 8'
  • goal Benjamin Bourigeaud 15'
  • yellowcard Hamari Traore 28'
  • goal Gaetan Laborde 52'
  • yellowcard Warmed Omari 70'
  • goal Lovro Majer 84'