Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.