Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Lille had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.