Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
| 27.28% ( | 24.17% ( | 48.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( | 45.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( | 67.78% ( |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( | 30.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% ( | 66.53% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( | 18.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.76% ( | 50.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.28% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0-3 @ 4.44% ( 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 48.55% |