Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.