Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.