Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Raymond Kopa
  • Jean-Eudes Aholou 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 16'
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 48'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 69'
  • goal Neal Maupay 74'

Angers vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Angers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2025 4.15pm
Angers 1 - 1 Le Havre
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Esteban Lepaul

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2025 7.45pm
Marseille 3 - 2 Lyon
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Mason Greenwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result

Angers 20.22% (-0.58)
Draw 23.26% (-0.30)
Marseille 56.51% (+0.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.24% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.46% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 48.53% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 29.34% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 70.66% (-0.45)
Over 4.5 14.22% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 85.78% (-0.31)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5 61.72% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 38.28% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 24.96% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 75.04% (+0.31)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 83.03% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 16.97% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 52.93% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 47.07% (-0.87)

Score analysis

Angers 20.22%
Draw 23.26%
Marseille 56.5%
Angers
1-0 @ 6.24% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 5.31% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 20.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.26%
Marseille
0-1 @ 11.52% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 10.21% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 9.81% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 6.04% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 5.8% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.79% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 2.68% (+0.12)
1-4 @ 2.57% (+0.10)
2-4 @ 1.24% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 56.5%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Neal Maupay 27' yellowcard
  • Neal Maupay 30' redcard
  • Leonardo Balerdi 31' yellowcard
  • Valentin Carboni 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Jon Rowe 51' goal
  • redcard Lillian Rao-Lisoa 26'
  • goal Farid El Melali 54'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alexis Sanchez 34' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 48' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 77' goal
  • goal Abdallah Sima 28'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jonathan Clauss 35'
  • goal Luis Suarez Charris 50'
  • goal Gerson 59'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2022 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Arkadiusz Milik 18' goal
  • Gerson 21' goal
  • Arkadiusz Milik 70' goal
  • Arkadiusz Milik 78' goal
  • Cengiz Under 85' goal
  • goal Angelo Fulgini 8'
  • goal Nabil Bentaleb 11'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Cabot 53'
  • yellowcard Batista Mendy 76'
  • yellowcard Nabil Bentaleb 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Azzedine Ounahi 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 52'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 59'
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 65'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Arkadiusz Milik 9' goal
  • Valentin Rongier 22' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 37' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 48' goal
  • Jorge Sampaoli 87' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Gonzalez 87' yellowcard
  • Jorge Sampaoli 89' redcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 90'+4' goal
  • goal Mathias Pereira Lage 57'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 62'
  • goal Romain Thomas 85'
  • yellowcard Romain Thomas 90'+2'