Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Raymond Kopa

Angers
0 - 2
Marseille

Aholou (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rabiot (69'), Maupay (74')
Balerdi (16'), Rabiot (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angers

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Angers
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 3-2 Lyon
Sunday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Angers	Draw	Marseille
20.22% ( -0.58)	23.26% ( -0.29)	56.51% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.46% (

0.49)

48.53% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34% (

0.45)

70.66% (

-0.45)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.72% (

-0.32)

38.28% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.96% (

-0.31)

75.04% (

0.31)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.03% (

0.49)

16.97% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.93% (

0.86)

47.07% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

Angers 20.22%

Marseille 56.5%

Draw 23.26%

Angers	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 3% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.51% Total : 20.22%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 56.5%