Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.