/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
-
Michael Murillo
42'
-
Mason Greenwood
61'
-
Roberto De Zerbi
62'
-
Adrien Rabiot
64'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
68'
-
Luis Henrique
85'
-
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
90'+2'
-
Derek Cornelius
90'+4'
-
Corentin Tolisso
53'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
72'
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
82'
Marseille vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Froberto-de-zerbi.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Marseille
43.06%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
24.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Lyon
32.87%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
60.25%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.94%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
42.05%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
35.54%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
64.46%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
18.67%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
81.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
80.25%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
19.74%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
48.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
51.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
75.08%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
24.92%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
40.45%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
59.54%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
Marseille
43.06%
Draw
24.07%
Lyon
32.86%
Marseille
2-1
@
9%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 43.06%
1-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 43.06%
Draw
1-1
@
11.09%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.07%
2-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.07%
Lyon
1-2
@
7.71%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.86%
0-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.86%
Head to Head
-
Clinton Mata
45'+1'
-
Duje Caleta-Car
53'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
59'
-
Rayan Cherki
90'+3'
-
Duje Caleta-Car
90'+3'
-
Rayan Cherki
90'+4'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
1'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
5'
-
Roberto De Zerbi
45'+8'
-
Pol Lirola
69'
-
Ulisses Garcia
82'
-
Neal Maupay
90'+3'
-
Jon Rowe
90'+5'