Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 15, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stade de Chantereine
Lyon

Bourgoin-Jallieu
2 - 2
Lyon

Moujetzky (20', 68')
Atik (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Matic (45'), Mikautadze (63')
Maitland-Niles (50'), Cherki (90+5')
Bourgoin-Jallieu win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Bourgoin-Jallieu and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bourgoin-Jallieu 4-1 Martigues
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
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Last Game: Brest 2-1 Lyon
Saturday, January 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 86.09%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Bourgoin-Jallieu had a probability of 4.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 0-4 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.52%), while for a Bourgoin-Jallieu win it was 1-0 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Bourgoin-JallieuDrawLyon
4.34% (-0.1261 -0.13)9.57% (-0.4531 -0.45)86.09% (0.57499999999999 0.57)
Both teams to score 44.08% (1.274 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.47% (1.968 1.97)27.53% (-1.971 -1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.85% (2.428 2.43)48.15% (-2.432 -2.43)
Bourgoin-Jallieu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.07% (1.127 1.13)53.93% (-1.13 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.76% (0.681 0.68)87.23% (-0.68400000000001 -0.68)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.68% (0.432 0.43)4.31% (-0.4359 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.13% (1.34 1.34)17.87% (-1.344 -1.34)
Score Analysis
    Bourgoin-Jallieu 4.34%
    Lyon 86.09%
    Draw 9.57%
Bourgoin-JallieuDrawLyon
1-0 @ 1.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-1 @ 1.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 4.34%
1-1 @ 4.52% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-0 @ 2.33% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 2.19% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 9.57%
0-3 @ 12.04% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-2 @ 11.49% (-0.64 -0.64)
0-4 @ 9.46% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 7.44% (0.077 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.654 -0.65)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-5 @ 5.95% (0.223 0.22)
1-4 @ 5.84% (0.237 0.24)
1-5 @ 3.67% (0.257 0.26)
0-6 @ 3.12% (0.208 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.1 0.1)
1-6 @ 1.93% (0.189 0.19)
2-4 @ 1.8% (0.131 0.13)
0-7 @ 1.4% (0.134 0.13)
2-5 @ 1.13% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 86.09%

How you voted: Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Lyon

Bourgoin-Jallieu
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
Lyon
88.9%
9
rhs 2.0


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