Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.