Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.