Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2025 at 8.05pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
0 - 0
Toulouse

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aboukhlal (12')
Kumbedi (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Bourgoin-Jallieu 2-2 Lyon (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, January 15 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Laval
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Toulouse
60.11% ( 0.79)	22.72% ( -0.19)	17.17% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 47.63% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.38% (

-0.19)

50.62% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47% (

-0.16)

72.53% (

0.16)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

0.21)

16.45% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.86% (

0.38)

46.14% (

-0.38)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.01% (

-0.85)

42.98% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.72% (

-0.73)

79.28% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Lyon 60.1%

Toulouse 17.17%

Draw 22.71%

Lyon	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 60.1%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.71%	0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.69% Total : 17.17%