Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Istanbul Basaksehir

Fenerbahce
3 - 1
Istanbul

Dzeko (41'), En-Nesyri (74', 90')
Amrabat (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Piatek (59')
Ozdemir (40'), Turuc (45+4'), Opoku (62'), Crespo (66'), Dilmen (66')
Ba (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, December 11 at 3.30pm in Europa League

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Heidenheim
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 16.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
62.82% (0.201 0.2)20.5% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)16.67% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.96% (0.129 0.13)42.04% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.55% (0.128 0.13)64.44% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (0.097000000000008 0.1)12.78% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.92% (0.201 0.2)39.08% (-0.201 -0.2)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)38.47% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (-0.07 -0.07)75.22% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 62.82%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 16.67%
    Draw 20.5%
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.13% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.82% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.67% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 62.82%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.5%
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.67%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Istanbul

Fenerbahce
78.3%
Draw
21.7%
Istanbul Basaksehir
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Istanbul
0-1
Fenerbahce

Ba (25'), Figueiredo (45'), Ergun (77'), Dubois (77'), Lima (84'), Turuc (90+2'), Paulin Keny (90+1')
Figueiredo (45+2'), Paulin Keny (90+3')
Batshuayi (90+4' pen.)
Yuksek (12'), Oosterwolde (20'), Batshuayi (77'), Mor (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Fenerbahce
4-0
Istanbul
Djiku (5'), Duarte (10' og.), Szymanski (20', 80')
Kahveci (39'), Djiku (67'), Szymanski (71'), Oosterwolde (76')

Figueiredo (53')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2023 6.45pm
Final
Fenerbahce
2-0
Istanbul
Batshuayi (1', 29')
Zajc (14'), Aziz (88')

Turuc (67'), Paulin Keny (88')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Istanbul
1-2
Fenerbahce
Aleksic (30')
Pedro (88', 90+3')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Fenerbahce
1-0
Istanbul
Rossi (84')
> Preview