Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.41%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Kayserispor	Draw	Fenerbahce
23.96% ( -1.27)	23.64% ( 0.01)	52.41% ( 1.26)

Both teams to score 55.06% (

-1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.08% (

-1.21)

45.91% (

1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.77% (

-1.15)

68.22% (

1.15)

Kayserispor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.73% (

-1.71)

33.26% (

1.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.12% (

-1.93)

69.88% (

1.93)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.5% (

0.02)

17.5% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.99% (

0.04)

48% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Kayserispor 23.96%

Fenerbahce 52.4%

Draw 23.63%

Kayserispor	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.96%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.4%