Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.41%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.