Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 23.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
53.22% ( -0)	23.19% ( -0)	23.59% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.09% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.66% (

0.02)

44.34% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

0.02)

66.71% (

-0.02)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37% (

0.01)

16.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.54% (

0.01)

46.46% (

-0.01)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.28% (

0.02)

32.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.72% (

0.02)

69.28% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 53.22%

Zenit St Petersburg 23.59%

Draw 23.19%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.22%	1-1 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.46% Total : 23.59%