Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.