Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.