Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.