Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Jan 5, 2025 at 4pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
2 - 1
Hatayspor

En-Nesyri (17', 45+5')
Amrabat (55'), Szymanski (77'), Fred (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Boutobba (33')
Pedro (13'), Aboubakar (85'), Matur (90+6'), Kardesler (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Eyupspor 1-1 Fenerbahce
Friday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-3 Adana Demirspor
Monday, December 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 9.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
73.47% (0.40300000000001 0.4)16.56% (-0.213 -0.21)9.96% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 47.52% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.41 0.41)40% (-0.414 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.63% (0.424 0.42)62.36% (-0.428 -0.43)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.57% (0.19800000000001 0.2)9.43% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.3% (0.474 0.47)31.69% (-0.477 -0.48)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.47% (-0.104 -0.1)47.52% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.12% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)82.88% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 73.47%
    Hatayspor 9.96%
    Draw 16.56%
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
2-0 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 9.83% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.32% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.81% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.32% (0.06 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.74% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.04% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 73.47%
1-1 @ 7.87% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 16.56%
0-1 @ 3.33% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.93% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 9.96%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Hatayspor

Fenerbahce
93.8%
Draw
0.0%
Hatayspor
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 28
Hatayspor
0-2
Fenerbahce

Massanga (44')
Osayi-Samuel (24'), Under (40')
Osayi-Samuel (8'), Becao (34'), Oosterwolde (78'), Yuksek (90+2'), Soyuncu (90+4')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Fenerbahce
4-2
Hatayspor
Szymanski (7'), Osayi-Samuel (15'), Dzeko (39'), Kahveci (63')
Becao (73')
Ghoulam (55'), Aabid (90+4')
Dele-Bashiru (20'), Kilama (61'), Bekaroglu (69'), Lamkel Ze (73')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 35
Hatayspor
0-3
Fenerbahce
Dec 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 16
Fenerbahce
4-0
Hatayspor
King (20'), Batshuayi (26'), Dursun (86'), Henrique (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 26
Fenerbahce
2-0
Hatayspor
Dursun (67' pen., 81' pen.)

Ribeiro (17'), Temel (38')
> Preview