Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 9.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.