Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.