Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 1pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
3 - 1
Gaziantep

Pedro (12'), Bamgboye (35'), Strandberg (90+5')
Demir (74'), Corekci (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sorescu (45+2')
Inan (0'), Mandouki (59'), Tasdemir (71')
Viana (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Eyupspor 2-0 Hatayspor
Sunday, November 3 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Gaziantep

All competitions
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-1 Goztepe SK
Friday, November 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawGaziantep
44.49% (-1.662 -1.66)25.81% (0.178 0.18)29.7% (1.484 1.48)
Both teams to score 52.87% (0.349 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (0.030999999999999 0.03)51.04% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (0.029 0.03)72.9% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (-0.75500000000001 -0.76)22.87% (0.757 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39% (-1.128 -1.13)56.61% (1.13 1.13)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (1.116 1.12)31.45% (-1.115 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (1.27 1.27)67.83% (-1.27 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 44.49%
    Gaziantep 29.7%
    Draw 25.81%
HataysporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.274 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.241 0.24)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.261 0.26)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.28 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.18 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 29.7%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Gaziantep

Hatayspor
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Gaziantep
50.0%
6
Head to Head
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Gameweek 35
Gaziantep
1-1
Hatayspor
Djilobodji (11')
Djilobodji (56'), Kizildag (62')
Kilama (15')
Inan (2'), Yilmaz (23'), Ghoulam (32'), Corekci (52'), Sinik (61'), Sinik (68'), Kizildag (71'), Faruk Beyaz (79')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 16
Hatayspor
0-0
Gaziantep
Faruk Beyaz (51'), Kilama (63'), Dadasov (75')
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Feb 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Gaziantep
4-1
Hatayspor
Jevtovic (38'), Markovic (56', 77'), Merkel (88')
El Kaabi (27')
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Aug 20, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Hatayspor
1-2
Gaziantep
El Kaabi (31')
Vranjes (58'), Corekci (59')
Figueiredo (7'), Jevtovic (49')
Maxim (34'), Markovic (51'), Jevtovic (82')
Mar 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Gaziantep
2-2
Hatayspor
Maxim (5', 79')
Soyalp (15')
Caulker (20' og.), El Kaabi (30')
Ergun (40'), Adekugbe (73')
> Preview