Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.