Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Konyaspor had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Konyaspor win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.