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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Marseille
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Monaco
Nantes
Nice
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Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade Oceane
Saint-Etienne

Le Havre
1 - 1
St Etienne

Toure (45+1')
Lloris (22'), Zouaoui (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stassin (10')
Cardona (45+3'), Moueffek (50'), Fomba (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-4 Le Havre
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-3 Nice
Saturday, March 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Le HavreDrawSaint-Etienne
33.84% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)26.09% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)40.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.58% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)50.85% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (0.028000000000002 0.03)72.73% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (0.018999999999991 0.02)28.57% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (0.022000000000006 0.02)64.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (0.026000000000003 0.03)59.64% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 33.84%
    Saint-Etienne 40.07%
    Draw 26.09%
Le HavreDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Le Havre vs St Etienne

Le Havre
60.0%
Draw
17.8%
Saint-Etienne
22.2%
45
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 2
St Etienne
0-2
Le Havre

Nzuzi (33'), Cafaro (40'), Larsonneur (57')
Toure (57' pen.), Sangante (67')
Sangante (40'), Casimir (42'), N'Diaye (90')
Mar 18, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Le Havre
2-2
St Etienne
Alioui (58'), Lekhal (66' pen.)
Bamba (68'), Krasso (85')
Aug 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
St Etienne
0-6
Le Havre

Pintor (22'), Briancon (27'), Giraudon (37')
Briancon (31'), Cafaro (37'), Green (66')
Sangante (51'), Alioui (56'), Lekhal (64'), Operi (80', 84'), Kitala (89')
Richardson (43'), Operi (87')
rhs 2.0


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