Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.