Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
1 - 4
Toulouse

Soumare (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aboukhlal (9'), Sierro (56' pen.), Donnum (63'), Magri (78')
Sierro (73'), Kamanzi (90+5'), Kamanzi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 0-1 PSG
Saturday, February 15 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Toulouse
16.12% ( 0.58)	23% ( 0.56)	60.87% ( -1.14)

Both teams to score 44.76% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64% (

-1.16)

53.35% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

-0.99)

74.89% (

0.98)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.03% (

0.09)

45.97% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.3% (

0.08)

81.69% (

-0.08)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.84% (

-0.8)

17.15% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.6% (

-1.43)

47.39% (

1.43)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 16.12%

Toulouse 60.87%

Draw 23%

Le Havre	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.36% Total : 16.12%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 13.9% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 12.25% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 7.2% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.87%